Zambia, 2007

All Years for Zambia: 2016 — 2013 — 2007 — 2002 — 1998 — 1995

2007 Summary Totals for Zambia

Data Category	Definite	Probable	Possible	Speculative
Direct Sample Counts and Reliable Dung Counts	16,229	5,899	5,899	0
Other Dung Counts	27	49	9	0
Informed Guesses	306	0	0	0
Other Guesses	0	0	0	813
Totals 2006	16,562	5,948	5,908	813

Interpretation of Changes in Estimates from Previous Report

Cause of Change	Definite	Probable	Possible	Speculative
Repeat Survey	+1,953	+37	-45	0
New Population	+36	-85	+179	0
Different Technique	-41	+1,100	-1,632	0
Different Area	+1,806	-2,029	-231	0
New Guess	+326	0	0	+119
New Analysis	+29	-37	+5	+477
Data Degraded	-3	0	0	-19
Totals	+4,105	-1,013	-1,723	+578

Area of Range Covered by Each Data Category (km²)

Data Category	Known Range	Possible Range	Total Range
Direct Sample Counts and Reliable Dung Counts	109,944	5,143	115,087
Other Dung Counts	482	0	482
Informed Guesses	75	0	75
Other Guesses	6,851	734	7,585
Unassessed Range	1,204	76,814	78,018
Totals	118,556	82,692	201,247

Zambia : Elephant Estimates

	Cause of	Survey Details²			Number of Elephants				Area	Map Location
Input Zone	Change¹	Type	Reliab.	Year	Estimate	95% C.L.	Source	PFS³	(km²)	Lon.	Lat.
Chanjuzi Hunting Block	RS	AS3	B	2004	65	81	Simwanza, 2004b	3	600	32.6E	12.3S
Chiawa Game Management Area	RS	AS2	B	2003	45	53	Dunham, 2004a	3	900	28.9E	15.8S
Chisomo & Sandwe Game Management Area	-	AS2	B	1999	128	155	Jachmann & Phiri, 1999a	3	750	30.9E	13.8S
Isangano National Park	DD	GT1	E	1993	3		Tembo, quest. reply, 1993	3	840	30.6E	11.2S
Kafinde Game Management Area	-	IG3	E	1991	50		Tembo, quest. reply, 1993	2	3,860	30.1E	12.4S
Kafue National Park	DA	AS2	B	2004	6,306	5,227	Simwanza, 2004a	2	22,400	25.9E	15.2S
Kasanka National Park	NA	DC2	C	1999	76	9	Jachmann & Phiri, 1999b	3	390	30.2E	12.6S
Kasonso-Busanga Game Management Area	RS	AS2	B	2004	401	378	Simwanza, 2004a	2	7,780	25.6E	14.1S
Katokota Game Ranch	-	AT3	E	1991	19		Tembo, quest. reply, 1993	5	15	28.0E	16.8S
Lavushi Manda National Park	-	IG3	E	1991	15		Tembo, quest. reply, 1993	3	1,500	30.8E	12.4S
Lower Zambezi National Park	RS	AS2	B	2003	1,477	744	Dunham, 2004a	2	4,084	29.7E	15.5S
Luano Game Management Area	-	IG3	E	1996	150		Jachmann, 1996	2	8,930	29.6E	14.8S
Luawata Hunting Block	RS	AS2	B	2003	968	652	van der Westhuizen, 2003	3	1,092	31.9E	12.3S
Lukusuzi National Park	RS	AS1	B	2005	0	0	Fourie et al., 2005	1	3,200	32.6E	12.8S
Lunga-Luswishi Game Management Area	RS	AS2	B	2004	195	169	Simwanza, 2004a	2	13,340	26.9E	13.8S
Lupande Game Management Area	-	AS2	B	2002	975	586	Dunham & Simwanza, 2002	2	4,959	32.0E	13.3S
Mosi-oa-Tunya National Park	NG	IG3	D	2006	306		Chase, 2006	4	66	25.8E	17.9S
Mukungule Game Management Area	RS	AS2	B	2003	156	119	van der Westhuizen, 2003	3	788	32.0E	11.7S
Mulobezi Game Management Area	RS	AS2	B	2004	55	96	Simwanza, 2004a	2	3,420	25.4E	16.5S
Mumbwa Game Management Area	DT	AS2	B	2004	181	208	Simwanza, 2004a	2	3,370	26.4E	15.1S
Musalangu Game Management Area	DA	AS2	B	2004	1,011	898	Simwanza, 2004b	3	2,190	32.8E	11.2S
Mwanya Hunting Block	DA	AS3	B	2004	503	237	Simwanza, 2004b	3	860	32.3E	12.7S
Mweru wa Ntipa Ecosystem	NP	AS2	B	2003	0		Simwanza, 2003	1	7,274	29.8E	8.7S
Namwala Game Management Area	DT	AS2	B	2004	127	134	Simwanza, 2004a	2	3,600	26.3E	15.5S
Nchete Island Wildlife Sanctuary	-	AT3	E	1991	49		Tembo, quest. reply, 1993	4	25	27.6E	17.4S
Nkala Game Management Area	NP	AS2	B	2004	210	306	Simwanza, 2004a	4	194	26.0E	16.0S
North Luangwa National Park	RS	AS3	B	2003	3,235	695	van der Westhuizen, 2003	2	4,688	32.2E	11.9S
Nsumbu National Park	DT	AS2	B	2003	65	92	Simwanza, 2003	3	2,063	30.4E	8.8S
Nyampala Game Management Area	DA	AS2	B	2004	284	133	Simwanza, 2004b	4	330	31.7E	12.5S
Rufunsa Game Management Area	RS	AS2	B	2003	0		Dunham, 2004a	1	3,128	30.0E	15.2S
Sekula Island Wildlife Sanctuary	-	AT3	E	1991	7		Tembo, quest. reply, 1993	5	10	27.5E	17.4S
Sichifulo Game Management Area	RS	AS2	B	2004	0		Simwanza, 2004a	1	3,600	25.7E	16.8S
Sioma Ngwezi National Park	RS	AS2	B	2005	385	371	Chase & Griffin, 2005b	2	4,377	23.4E	17.3S
South Luangwa National Park	-	AS2	B	2002	4,459	1,519	Dunham & Simwanza, 2002	2	8,448	31.6E	13.1S
West Lunga National Park	-	AS3	E	1996	520		C.M. Phiri, pers. comm., 1998	3	1,684	24.8E	12.8S
West Petauke Game Management Area	-	AS2	B	1999	897	1,399	Jachmann & Phiri, 1999a	3	905	30.3E	14.3S

* Range of informed guess

¹Key to Causes of Change (only tracked since 2007): DA: Different Area; DD: Data Degraded; DT: Different Technique; NA: New Analysis; NG: New Guess; NP: New population; PL: Population Lost; RS: Repeat Survey (RS ́ denotes a repeat survey that is not statistically comparable for reasons such as different season); –––: No Change

²Key to Survey Types: AC: Aerial Count, not specified; AS: Aerial Sample Count; AT: Aerial Total Count; DC: Dung Count; EX: Extrapolation from GIS; GD: Genetic Dung Count; GS: Ground Sample Count; GT: Ground Total Count; IG: Informed Guess; IR: Individual Registration; OG: Other Guess. Survey Type is followed by an indicator of survey quality, ranked from 1 to 3 (best to worst). Survey Reliability is keyed A-E (best to worst) as outlined in this table.

³PFS: Priority for Future Surveys, ranked from 1 to 5 (highest to lowest). Based on the precision of estimates and the proportion of national range accounted for by the site in question, PFS is a measure of the importance and urgency for future population surveys. All areas of unassessed range have a priority of 1. See Introduction for details on how the PFS is derived.